Underdog Hunches Can Pay Big Time during March Madness Betting

march madness basketball betting

March Madness is biggest online sportsbetting event of the year.

There’s a reason they call it March Madness — it’s the absolute craziest betting period of the year!  People that don’t often bet on sports bet on U.S. college basketball. Super Bowl may be the biggest single betting event of the year, but way more money is bet on NCAA college basketball.  Selection Sunday saw Kansas, Oregon, North Carolina and Virginia handed the top seeds in the four Regional tournaments, but anything is possible as the best teams in the country battle it out for glory in the weeks ahead.

“We have seen a huge amount of action from the moment our March Madness lines were posted,” said the sportsbook manager at Intertops. “It’s the time of year when many recreational punters decide to try their luck — a correct hunch on one of the underdogs can provide very tasty winnings. It’s not called March Madness for nothing!”

Anything could happen on the basketball courts, but Intertops customers know they’ll be well taken care of.  The world’s first online sportsbook has a reputation for providing exciting promotions for all major sporting events and March Madness is no exception.

“We know a perfect bracket is very unlikely to be cracked, but that doesn’t mean that our players are left empty-handed. The cash prize will then be shared equally between the 25 customers with the most correct picks,” added the manager.

In the UK, writers at The Guardian predict that Duke will be out early, that Michigan’s Valentine will be a star of the tournament and that Michigan State will take the title.

NCAA forum users like Kansas to beat Michigan State in the championship game.

Jon Hale at USA Today predicts that Kentucky will take it all.

“The Wildcats had the perfect team last season, entering the NCAA tournament 34-0 and chasing the first undefeated season since 1976. But Wisconsin stunned Kentucky in the Final Four and busted brackets everywhere — showing the cold reality that the single-elimination NCAA tournament isn’t kind to even the most dominant of teams. So how outrageous would it be if John Calipari’s far-less talented Wildcats won the national championship in 2016? Wouldn’t that be wild? It’s actually not that far off.”

Ricky O’Donnell at SB Nation thinks Kansas vs. Oklahoma round three would be incredible and that Michigan State’s shooting advantage over UNC will get them into the national semifinal.  He thinks it’ll be Michigan State over Kansas in the title game, giving Tom Izzo another title.

Which teams do YOU think will make the Final Four?!

 

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March Madness 2015 is Kentucky’s to lose

Can anyone stop Kentucky this year?

Can anyone stop Kentucky this year?

Kentucky is the best team in the country. There is no more obvious statement in the whole sports world right now. With a 34-0 record – which included victories over Kansas, North Carolina, Arkansas and Louisville – Kentucky is the undisputed best team in the country. But what is scariest is not their 30 point demolitions of Kansas and UCLA, instead it is the back-to-back near upsets they faced against Ole Miss and Texas A&M which both went to overtime, with the A&M game ending in double overtime. It was those two games where Kentucky showed that they can grind out wins even when everything is against them.

And it is that mental fortitude which will come in handy in the tournament where they will have a target on their back every single game they play. Throw in the fact that they ended up losing in the final last year to an 8 loss UConn team and this Kentucky is going to be hellbent on going 40-0 and winning the tournament.

 

2015 NCAA March Madness Outright Betting Odds:

Kentucky +110

Wisconsin +750

Arizona +800

Duke +850 

(All odds provided by Intertops.eu are accurate as of today and subject to change)

 

Looking at the top seeded teams in this year’s tournament it is just impossible to not see Kentucky emerging victorious. They are the best coached team in the country and have a size advantage that no other team can match, with Willie Cauley-Stein and Karl-Anthony Towns – two NBA-ready 7ft players. Most teams would be lucky to have one of these guys, but Kentucky has two, and it makes them completely unplayable in the paint. The smart money is on Kentucky, they are a step above every other team in the country and when you look at the odds this notion is clearly reflected. March Madness, the most unpredictable tournament in the world, is predicting one thing; and that is, to the disdain of every college hoops fan, a Kentucky victory.

But even though Kentucky is the smart bet, it is no fun rooting for the team who is overwhelmingly perceived as the tournament favourite, especially when it is a team as universally disliked as Kentucky.

 

So if you’re not going to back Kentucky then who is there left to bet on? The second tier of teams (despite all being #1 seeds) are Wisconsin, Duke and Villanova. Villanova can be crossed off the list immediately purely for being a Big East team. Yes, they have a 32-2 record and have beaten down on their conference, but how many Big East teams are actually going to make it to the second round of the tournament? And they ended up splitting the series with the best team they faced, Georgetown, that featured them getting blown out by 20 on the road. Villanova are also placed in one of the toughest regions this tournament with Louisville, Michigan State, Oklahoma and Virginia all lying in wait. It is hard to back a Big East team to win the tournament given the conference’s recent history in tournament play.

Virginia look like the team to beat in this region, finishing the season with the #1 ranked defense and only 3 losses (to Duke, Louisville and UNC by a combined total of 12 points). This Virginia team has been excellent all year and will be a great match-up to Kentucky if both progress that far. In a tournament like March Madness where there is more money to be won betting on teams who are not #1 seeds then Virginia (+1100 with AllYouBet.ag) are the most logical choice if you want an outside shot but don’t want to be taking a punt on a sub-elite Kansas or Louisville team.

 

The other team apart from Virginia where there is good value is Wisconsin, who, despite being widely considered the second favourite behind Kentucky, come with some pretty favourable odds. The main reason behind Wisconsin being seen as the second best team in the tournament is Frank Kaminsky, a 7ft behemoth who is widely regarded as the best offensive player in the country. If Wisconsin manage to reach final to presumably face off against Kentucky, then the match-up between Willie Cauley-Stein and Frank Kaminsky will be fantastic to watch, pitting an undefendable player against the best defender in the country. Wisconsin can go as far as Kaminsky wants to take them and it is never a bad move to bet on the team that features the best player in the country, especially as the earliest Wisconsin can play Kentucky is the final game of the tournament.

Kentucky may be the heavy favourite for the tournament but that creates a lot of value elsewhere with Wisconsin and Virginia being prime examples.

 

Betting Instinct Tip – Wisconsin to win NCAAB West is +150 with AllYouBet.ag

 

mattm MATT MCGRATH writes about American football, be it college or NCAA (because betting on unpaid student athletes is fun and definitely ethically correct). Follow him on Twitter.

March Madness 2014 Final Four – Can Kentucky Make History?

Can Kentucky's John Calipari repeat his 2011-12 success?

Can Kentucky’s John Calipari repeat his 2011-12 success?

 

No one will ever have it all figured out.  No one wants to.

 

Aaron Craft lay flat on his back on the hardwood and let the madness wash over him. Dayton had just upset Craft’s Ohio State Buckeyes in the first game of the 2014 NCAA Tournament, bursting millions of brackets as Cinderella’s pumpkin carriage pulled up outside college basketball’s Big Dance.  Dayton’s run to the Elite Eight was the standout story of this year’s March Madness for the neutral, as they also toppled the much-fancied Syracuse and fellow giant killers, Stanford, before finally being stopped by No. 1 Florida.  The other major upsets came from Stanford and Mercer, who beat Kansas and Duke, respectively, and saw to it that the top three players in this year’s heralded freshmen class (Andrew Wiggins, Joel Embiid and Jabari Parker) would be watching the business end of the tournament from their couches.  This is how Mercer’s Kevin Canevari felt about that.

 

The Final Four is where it gets serious.  Cinderella had her fun, but was escorted out after one too many Jägerbombs.  The true heavyweights remain: Florida, UConn, Wisconsin and Kentucky.  Pay attention to the seedings no more; though UConn is a No. 7 and Kentucky a No. 8, both are power programs which have produced champions in the past four years, while No. 1 Florida and No. 2 Wisconsin have been consistent all season – there are no underdogs.  Still, of the 11 million brackets filled out for ESPN’s Tournament challenge, just 612 predicted that these would be the last four teams left despite the fact that Kentucky was the preseason No. 1 and Florida was the midseason No. 1.

 

March Madness Final Four Betting Odds:

Florida +110

Kentucky +250

Wisconsin +275

Connecticut +800

(All odds provided by AllYouBet.ag are accurate as of today and subject to change)

 

The favourites before the tournament coming off a 30-game winning streak, Florida is the team to beat.  Here’s where it gets interesting though: two of the other Final Four teams, Wisconsin and UConn, are the only teams to have beaten Florida this season, while Kentucky came within a point in their last matchup with the Gators.  Florida’s record this season is a result of the nation’s best defense, toughness and consistency, all owing to the maturity of the squad.  Before the season, maturity was not a word often associated with point guard Scottie Wilbekin, and his story is definitely worth a read.  Florida would certainly not be here without him.  Wilbekin is one of four seniors in the starting lineup and no Gator is expected to be selected in the first round of this year’s NBA Draft – are Florida the anti-Kentucky?

 

Last season was tough for UConn; their long-time Hall of Fame coach, Jim Calhoun, retired before the season, star players from the previous season, Andre Drummond and Jeremy Lamb, had left for the NBA and they were banned from the NCAA Tournament for not meeting academic standards.  This year, the Huskies are back with a vengeance that few expected, thanks to coach Kevin Ollie and star player Shabazz Napier.  UConn are also in the NCAA Women’s Final Four, but if they are to have any chance of double success, the Huskies need to hope Napier is on form.  Connecticut are far from a one-man team, and boast a balanced, scoring support behind their point guard, but it is clear that they will go as far as Napier, the tournament’s leading scorer (23.3 ppg) takes them.

 

How to describe the 2013/14 Wisconsin Badgers?  “White guys.”  Frank Kaminsky’s words, not mine.  But the Badgers’ star center’s response to the question of how their last opponents would describe the team tells you all you need to know.  Wisconsin are likeable; a feel-good story.  Kaminsky doesn’t take himself too seriously, even if NBA scouts have started to, and low-key coach Bo Ryan has finally led his Badgers to the Final Four after coming close countless times over the last decade.  Though Kaminsky has emerged as a force in recent games, Wisconsin’s success has been built on a slow, efficient offensive style, rather than star play.  They have already beaten Florida and Kentucky this season, and a tough schedule culminated in that victory over the Wildcats in the last round.  Having last won the tournament in 1941, Wisconsin has far and away the longest drought of any of the remaining teams.

 

Coming into the season with one of the most heralded recruiting classes ever and ranked No. 1 in the nation, many believed that John Calipari’s Kentucky would repeat the success of his 2011/12 championship-winning team.  Individual talent was never an issue, but the team often looked like less than the sum of its parts, with the Harrison twins in particular struggling in the backcourt.  After a huge loss to Florida on March 10, Calipari concluded that a change was in order, and tweaked his tactics to give the players more freedom at the expense of set plays.  The results speak for themselves; Kentucky’s last three games have seen them dispose of last year’s finalists, Louisville and Michigan, and the previously undefeated Wichita State.  Julius Randle has cemented his place amongst the top players in this year’s draft and is certainly the man to watch, but both Andrew and Aaron Harrison have stepped up their play in the last two weeks and Marcus Lee has emerged from nowhere to replace the injured Willie Cauley-Stein.  Kentucky has gained momentum and cohesion to go with their star power and will be very difficult to stop.

 

Betting Instinct Tip – Back Kentucky -1.5 against Wisconsin, at -110 with Intertops.eu

 

Cathal avatar CATHAL LOUGHRAN (cathalloughran) is a student and writer from Ireland, based in London.  He  writes about college basketball and the NBA for Betting Instinct

The Only Teams to Have Beaten Florida This Season are also in the NCAAB Final Four

NCAA Final Four

Florida is the NCAAB favorite of this weekend’s Final Four but underdog Wisconsin could surprise everyone

The Florida Gators may have been a favorites since March Madness betting began a couple of weeks ago with some worth opponents this weekend during the Final Four it would be premature to crack the champagne just yet. Although they see some possibility of an underdog upset, Intertops Sportsbook oddsmakers do expect Florida to win on Saturday and for the Gators to ultimately get past their three worthy opponents to take the Championship title on Monday.

At the moment  the Gators are a six-point favorite to avenge their defeat to UConn and stop the Huskies’ memorable run that has seen them eliminate the Number 2, 3 and 4 seeds in the East Region.

Intertops Sportsbook favors the Florida Gators (+110) to win the NCAA Championship on Monday over Kentucky (+250), Wisconsin (+275) and Connecticut (+800).

“Florida started the tournament as the favorite and is the only number one seed to make the Final Four,” observed an Intertops sportsbook bookmaker.  “After winning all four games so far — by double digits — the Gators will be the team to beat in Arlington.  But things are not as clear cut as they might seem at first glance. It could well be that exactly the three teams that stand the most chance of thwarting Florida’s dreams are also traveling to Texas: Wisconsin and Connecticut are the only teams to have beaten them this season and the Kentucky Wildcats came within two points of doing so just three weeks ago.”

“For Connecticut coming in as a decided underdog, having already played Florida and beaten them should give them not only some confidence but also some idea of how to play the Gators,” said Sports Illustrated’s Seth Davis.

Intertops will also be taking live wagers during the games that begin at 6:05 pm and 8:45 pm ET Saturday.

 

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The Gamblogger gambling blogGAMBLOGGER (gamblogger) is one of the editors of BettingInstinct. He talks mainly about poker and casino games in his gambling blog and on his YouTube channel but can’t help but get caught up in sports betting during Super Bowl and March Madness.

The Best of March Madness

Many a great basketball career has started at college, and few are greater than former UNC alum Michael Jordan

Many a great basketball career has started at college, and few are greater than former UNC alum Michael Jordan

As March Madness enters its second week, Jamie Cutteridge explains what all the fuss is about by looking at five of the greatest moments in the history of the NCAA tournament.

 

If you’ve been on the internet, near the internet, next door to the internet or in the same postcode as the internet in the last week, you’ve probably heard of March Madness. The NCAA tournament is a joyous treat in the often dull month of March. The 64 best teams in college basketball play a straight knockout tournament over three weeks as the future stars of the NBA take on (and often lose to) players who will never see anything like this attention again. Underdogs, drama and wall-to-wall sport. Utterly perfect. As we near the final stages, Betting Instinct brings you five of the best moments in March Madness history to get you pumped for this week’s action.

 

NCAA Championship Betting Odds:

Florida +350

Louisville +450

Michigan State +450

Arizona +550

(All odds provided by AllYouBet.ag are accurate as of today and subject to change)

 

1982: Jordan wins it late at the start of his journey to greatness.

Picking a best Michael Jordan is impossible. The Flu game, ‘The shot’ against Cleveland in 1989, his final shot to beat Utah in 98, the threes and the shrug against Portland in 1992. He’s the greatest basketball player of all time, and possibly the biggest sporting icon since Adam beat Eve at an egg and spoon race. In his freshman year in college, he scored the winning basket with his team down by one point to beat Patrick Ewing’s Georgetown. Just sit back and enjoy some classic MJ.

 

 

 

1983: NC State shock America

In one of the biggest shocks in American sporting history, unfancied North Carolina State, led by legendary coach ‘Jimmy V’ upset massive favourites Houston to take the title. The Houston team contained future NBA hall of famers Hakeem Olajuwon and Clyde Drexler, but couldn’t get it done as Lorenzo Charles dunked Dereck Whittenburg’s air-ball to win the game as time as time expired to send his coach into a state of delirium.

 

 

 

1985: Villanova ruin Ewing’s big day. Again

Patrick Ewing’s lack of success is so notable he’s got a theory named after him. After losing out to Jordan in ’82, Ewing and Georgetown  did win the title in 1984, and seemed destined to repeat in 1985 as the heavy pre-tournament favourites reached the big dance to play eight-seeded Villanova. However no-one counted on the Wildcats shooting a quite frankly ludicrous  78.6% to beat Ewing in his college swansong.

 

 

1992: THE SHOT

They call it the shot. They should call it the pass. The eventual champions and number one seeds Duke met Kentucky in an unforgettable regional final that was settled in overtime. Kentucky scored with 2.1 seconds to go to take a one point lead and it looked like the top seeds were on the way out. But then Grant Hill made an unreal pass, Christian Laettner got the ball and… oh just watch it.

 

 

 

 

1993: The Timeout

The 1993 Michigan Wolverines were the greatest college team of all time. ‘The Fab Five’ as they were known contained Jimmy King,  Ray Jackson, Juwan Howard, Jalen Rose and Chris Webber. They took on fellow number one seeds North Carolina in 1993’s title game and trailed by two as Chris Webber brought the ball up court with fifteen second remaining. Webber got trapped in the corner and called a timeout, except Michigan didn’t have any left. A technical foul was called, NC got two free throws and the ball, and won the title.  A horrendous blunder that has overshadowed the rest of Webber’s brilliant career.

 

 

 

That’s just a taste of the drama and magic that March Madness involves. The fun continues from Thursday through to Sunday this week as the sweet sixteen are whittled down the final four. My tips to make the final have been Florida and Louisiana from the start, and they’re still going strong, just. But if you’re looking for value, don’t sleep on eleventh seeded Tennessee in the Midwest region. But no matter who plays, don’t miss out on some magical March madness.

 

Betting Instinct Tip: Tennessee to win the Midwest region is +550 with Intertops.eu

 

Jamie avatar JAMIE CUTTERIDGE (jamiecutteridge) is a journalist for a real magazine, but spends an inordinate  amount of time writing about NFL. He’s the editor-in-chief of anygivensundaynight.co.uk and its associated  twitter feed @UKNFL

Even Barack Obama has a go during March Madness as predicting a perfect bracket becomes an American pastime

Is there anyone in the United States who doesn't fill in a March Madness bracker?

Is there anyone in the United States who doesn’t fill in a March Madness bracket?

68 teams.  63 games.  21 days.  Millions of fans.  No second chances.

What happens when something predictably unpredictable becomes so unpredictable that we don’t even know what to expect when expecting the unexpected?  Madness.

The NCAA tournament is one of those rare occasions on which human beings embrace madness.  Every year millions of brackets are filled out in what has become a national pastime in the States, with people entering into online competitions and office pools alike in the hope of predicting the tournament correctly.  Even Barack Obama has a go.  But, clever though he may be, the odds don’t look good: there is about a one in 147.57 quintillion (18 zeroes) chance of picking the perfect bracket.  Why do people subject themselves to such an exercise in futility?  If they needed an incentive beyond the fun, the office pot, or an innate desire to defy the odds (a rare motivation, I’ll admit), Warren Buffett has provided one.  For those unfamiliar with Mr. Buffett, he recently became the world’s second-richest man, and is thus able to promise a $1 billion prize to anyone who can pick the winner of all 63 games.  I wouldn’t bet on it.

This isn’t the NBA Playoffs, no matter how much casual basketball fans love that comparison.  Yes, the stakes are high and the best players are on display, but what separates March from April, May and June is that every game is Game 7.  The atmosphere doesn’t reach fever pitch, it starts there.  Because every team has a chance.  Bracket busting teams of the past, like Butler in 2010 AND 2011, typified the unpredictability of the tournament with their ‘Cinderella stories’.  Except this year, there are so many teams whose feet might fit the proverbial glass slipper that so-called ‘bracketologists’ will have a harder time choosing than Prince Charming.  There seems to be an abundance of ‘giant killers’, but few, if any, giants to kill.  Obviously there are the big-name programs and stalwart coaches who are present year in, year out, but none has set itself apart.

If the NBA’s new Commissioner gets his way, and the league’s age limit is raised from 19 to 20, March Madness 2014 could be the last of its kind.  This year NBA scouts have been giddy with excitement about possibly the most heralded freshman class in recent memory.  The likes of Andrew Wiggins, Jabari Parker, Julius Randle, Joel Embiid, and Andrew Gordon have not disappointed thus far, but they don’t have much more time to prove themselves.  Because of the increasingly popular ‘one and done’ trend, highly-touted prospects have tended to spend just one year in college before declaring for the NBA draft.  These players and their teams get one shot at the title, in contrast to those mid-major programs comprised of upperclassmen that have been together for years.  It will be interesting to see whether this class of freshmen really is as good as advertised; does any of these players has what it takes to shoulder the weight of a long run in March?  Keep in mind that the team ranked No. 1 in the country, Florida, has just that many freshmen on its roster.

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NCAA Men’s Basketball Championship Betting Odds

Florida 5.50
Louisville 7.00
Arizona 8.00
Michigan State 9.00
Kansas 10.00

(All odds provided by Intertops.eu are accurate as of today and subject to change)

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At the time of writing it’s still championship week, so, if you haven’t already grasped how fickle the nature of this tournament is, here is my disclaimer: while I’ve begun by mentioning the two teams I’m most interested to watch, the unpredictability of March Madness could mean their hopes are up in smoke within a day or two of this preview going live.

Oklahoma State have flirted with being both overrated and underrated since the season began, but the consistent fact of the matter is they will go as far as Marcus Smart takes them.  When he is dialled in, this team can be very difficult to beat, as Kansas found in the second half of their game earlier in the month.  Admittedly I have a fetish for 6’4, 220lb guards (see Wade, Dwyane), but Smart has shown he can pretty much do it all.  Against Texas Tech in the First Round of the Big 12, Smart stuffed the stat sheet and, more importantly, showed the character that has been questioned since the last time the teams met.  If Smart stays focused and gets some help from his teammates, OK State may still justify some of the hype.

After watching UCLA edge out the much-fancied No. 4 Arizona, I don’t see why the Bruins couldn’t make some noise at the Big Dance (especially now that Ben Howland is gone).  They have some intriguing pieces in Jordan Adams and Zach LaVine, but the star of the show in LA this year has been Kyle Anderson.  The 6’8 point-forward was given the keys to the team by new coach, Steve Alford, and has responded with per-game averages not far off a triple-double.  He hasn’t gotten the hype his play has deserved, but a few wins in the coming weeks would change that.  Watch this space.

The fun of the tournament is finding your own teams to follow, so grab a bracket or six and share in the madness.

Betting Instinct Tip – UCLA face Tulsa in their opener, and UCLA -9 is -115 with AllYouBet.ag 

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Intertops Sportsbook $25,000 March Madness Bracket ContestIntertops Sportsbook will pay out $25,000 for a perfect bracket — 63 correct picks. If no player manages to select a perfect bracket, the prize money will be divided equally amongst the 25 players with the highest number of correct picks. Entry deadline is March 20th, 2014.

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Cathal avatarCATHAL LOUGHRAN (cathalloughran) is a student and writer from Ireland, based in London.  He writes about college basketball and the NBA for Betting Instinct