March Madness 2015 is Kentucky’s to lose

Can anyone stop Kentucky this year?

Can anyone stop Kentucky this year?

Kentucky is the best team in the country. There is no more obvious statement in the whole sports world right now. With a 34-0 record – which included victories over Kansas, North Carolina, Arkansas and Louisville – Kentucky is the undisputed best team in the country. But what is scariest is not their 30 point demolitions of Kansas and UCLA, instead it is the back-to-back near upsets they faced against Ole Miss and Texas A&M which both went to overtime, with the A&M game ending in double overtime. It was those two games where Kentucky showed that they can grind out wins even when everything is against them.

And it is that mental fortitude which will come in handy in the tournament where they will have a target on their back every single game they play. Throw in the fact that they ended up losing in the final last year to an 8 loss UConn team and this Kentucky is going to be hellbent on going 40-0 and winning the tournament.

 

2015 NCAA March Madness Outright Betting Odds:

Kentucky +110

Wisconsin +750

Arizona +800

Duke +850 

(All odds provided by Intertops.eu are accurate as of today and subject to change)

 

Looking at the top seeded teams in this year’s tournament it is just impossible to not see Kentucky emerging victorious. They are the best coached team in the country and have a size advantage that no other team can match, with Willie Cauley-Stein and Karl-Anthony Towns – two NBA-ready 7ft players. Most teams would be lucky to have one of these guys, but Kentucky has two, and it makes them completely unplayable in the paint. The smart money is on Kentucky, they are a step above every other team in the country and when you look at the odds this notion is clearly reflected. March Madness, the most unpredictable tournament in the world, is predicting one thing; and that is, to the disdain of every college hoops fan, a Kentucky victory.

But even though Kentucky is the smart bet, it is no fun rooting for the team who is overwhelmingly perceived as the tournament favourite, especially when it is a team as universally disliked as Kentucky.

 

So if you’re not going to back Kentucky then who is there left to bet on? The second tier of teams (despite all being #1 seeds) are Wisconsin, Duke and Villanova. Villanova can be crossed off the list immediately purely for being a Big East team. Yes, they have a 32-2 record and have beaten down on their conference, but how many Big East teams are actually going to make it to the second round of the tournament? And they ended up splitting the series with the best team they faced, Georgetown, that featured them getting blown out by 20 on the road. Villanova are also placed in one of the toughest regions this tournament with Louisville, Michigan State, Oklahoma and Virginia all lying in wait. It is hard to back a Big East team to win the tournament given the conference’s recent history in tournament play.

Virginia look like the team to beat in this region, finishing the season with the #1 ranked defense and only 3 losses (to Duke, Louisville and UNC by a combined total of 12 points). This Virginia team has been excellent all year and will be a great match-up to Kentucky if both progress that far. In a tournament like March Madness where there is more money to be won betting on teams who are not #1 seeds then Virginia (+1100 with AllYouBet.ag) are the most logical choice if you want an outside shot but don’t want to be taking a punt on a sub-elite Kansas or Louisville team.

 

The other team apart from Virginia where there is good value is Wisconsin, who, despite being widely considered the second favourite behind Kentucky, come with some pretty favourable odds. The main reason behind Wisconsin being seen as the second best team in the tournament is Frank Kaminsky, a 7ft behemoth who is widely regarded as the best offensive player in the country. If Wisconsin manage to reach final to presumably face off against Kentucky, then the match-up between Willie Cauley-Stein and Frank Kaminsky will be fantastic to watch, pitting an undefendable player against the best defender in the country. Wisconsin can go as far as Kaminsky wants to take them and it is never a bad move to bet on the team that features the best player in the country, especially as the earliest Wisconsin can play Kentucky is the final game of the tournament.

Kentucky may be the heavy favourite for the tournament but that creates a lot of value elsewhere with Wisconsin and Virginia being prime examples.

 

Betting Instinct Tip – Wisconsin to win NCAAB West is +150 with AllYouBet.ag

 

mattm MATT MCGRATH writes about American football, be it college or NCAA (because betting on unpaid student athletes is fun and definitely ethically correct). Follow him on Twitter.

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Kentucky Could Yet Take Down Florida Favorites in US College Basketball Final Four Showdown this Weekend

Final Four odds

Underdog bettors are cautiously optimistic about Kentucky’s chances of beating the favored Florida Gators in the NCAA Final Four basketball championship this weekend

American college basketball is down to the Final Four this weekend and by Monday there will be a new NCAA champion. A lot of people seem convinced that Florida will take the title but a couple of worthy opponents may have something to say about that. Online sportsbooks like AllYouBet.ag seem to think the Florida Gators will beat UConn on Saturday and then take the national title. No brainer.

However, in the second of two Final Four matchups on Saturday All You Bet bookmakers currently give the Kentucky Wildcats a slim 1.5–point advantage over Wisconsin.  Kentucky came within two points of upsetting Florida just two weeks ago in a game that looked like it could go either way. The Gators likely aren’t keen on facing them in the title match.

“The Kentucky-Wisconsin game will be very close. Florida could be playing either the Wildcats or the Badgers on Monday,” said All You Bet’s bookmaker. “Should the Badgers upset the odds and go all the way this year, plenty of All You Bet customers will be celebrating as we saw substantial action on the underdog as the tournament got underway.”

Final Four Game Odds

Florida -300

Connecticut +250

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Kentucky -130

Wisconsin +110

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All You Bet’s current lines see the Gators as 6.5-point favorites to avenge their defeat by UConn earlier this season and stop the Huskies’ impressive tournament run.

Odds to Win NCAA Men’s Basketball Outright

Florida +110

Kentucky +250

Wisconsin +275

Connecticut +800

 

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The Gamblogger gambling blogGAMBLOGGER (gamblogger) is one of the editors of BettingInstinct. He talks mainly about poker and casino games in his gambling blog and on his YouTube channel but can’t help but get caught up in sports betting during Super Bowl and March Madness.

The Only Teams to Have Beaten Florida This Season are also in the NCAAB Final Four

NCAA Final Four

Florida is the NCAAB favorite of this weekend’s Final Four but underdog Wisconsin could surprise everyone

The Florida Gators may have been a favorites since March Madness betting began a couple of weeks ago with some worth opponents this weekend during the Final Four it would be premature to crack the champagne just yet. Although they see some possibility of an underdog upset, Intertops Sportsbook oddsmakers do expect Florida to win on Saturday and for the Gators to ultimately get past their three worthy opponents to take the Championship title on Monday.

At the moment  the Gators are a six-point favorite to avenge their defeat to UConn and stop the Huskies’ memorable run that has seen them eliminate the Number 2, 3 and 4 seeds in the East Region.

Intertops Sportsbook favors the Florida Gators (+110) to win the NCAA Championship on Monday over Kentucky (+250), Wisconsin (+275) and Connecticut (+800).

“Florida started the tournament as the favorite and is the only number one seed to make the Final Four,” observed an Intertops sportsbook bookmaker.  “After winning all four games so far — by double digits — the Gators will be the team to beat in Arlington.  But things are not as clear cut as they might seem at first glance. It could well be that exactly the three teams that stand the most chance of thwarting Florida’s dreams are also traveling to Texas: Wisconsin and Connecticut are the only teams to have beaten them this season and the Kentucky Wildcats came within two points of doing so just three weeks ago.”

“For Connecticut coming in as a decided underdog, having already played Florida and beaten them should give them not only some confidence but also some idea of how to play the Gators,” said Sports Illustrated’s Seth Davis.

Intertops will also be taking live wagers during the games that begin at 6:05 pm and 8:45 pm ET Saturday.

 

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The Gamblogger gambling blogGAMBLOGGER (gamblogger) is one of the editors of BettingInstinct. He talks mainly about poker and casino games in his gambling blog and on his YouTube channel but can’t help but get caught up in sports betting during Super Bowl and March Madness.