Will Atletico live up to their favourites billing at the San Siro tonight?
Just like my preview of the Leverkusen v PSG game yesterday, there is a bigger game playing elsewhere in Europe’s top club football competition than at the San Siro tonight. The other game tonight sees the clash of Arsenal and Bayern Munich in North London for the second time in consecutive seasons, but I feel that, against just like last night, the AC Milan v Atlético Madrid clash tonight is equally intriguing and there is plenty of value to be found in this meeting of mid-table Italian giants versus the back in the title race Spanish side.
Atlético sit joint top of the Spanish La Primera Liga with Real Madrid and Barcelona, who AC Milan managed to secure a 1-1 draw with at the San Siro earlier this season in the Champions League group stage, sitting ahead of them, but can they go one better in Milan than Barca did and win at the San Siro?
Online bookmaker GR88.com certainly believe so as they favour an away win tonight and for Diego Simeone’s side to bring an advantage to the Estadio Vicente Calderón in three weeks time.
AC Milan – 3.55
Draw – 3.05
Atlético Madrid – 2.10
(All odds provided by GR88.com are accurate as of today and subject to change)
This season has not been a good one for Milan as they are in a transitional phase right now, but even with this they are way off the pace. In Serie A they sit ninth in the league, a massive 31 points behind league leaders Juventus, and while they progressed in the Champions League they were not particularly impressive. They lost away at Barcelona, but drew three of the other five games only beating Scottish side Celtic home and away, with the fact that Ajax slipped up in Glasgow the only reason that the European giants are not in the Europa League at this stage of the season. However, after a run of five draws and one loss in their last six games at the San Siro in 2013, Milan do appear to have turned things around in front of their own fans with four wins and a draw in six matches this year, losing only to Udinese in the Quarter Finals of the Coppa Italia.
Despite this turnaround by the hosts in tonight’s Milan v Atletico are still struggling for goals with just four goals scored in their last four home matches and with Atlético having overcome a recent slump with a 3-0 beating of Real Valladolid I’m not convinced that Milan will be able to bring something to Spain in three weeks time. Atlético did lose three successive games, including home and away to their big city rivals Real Madrid in their Copa del Rey Semi Final tie with them suffering a shock 2-0 loss away at Almeria in the middle of those two games too. However, their match at the weekend saw their top scorer in Diego Costa get back to scoring goals, bagging his 26th goal in 32 games this season, and he will certainly be a threat and looking to add to his four Champions League goals already scored in this campaign.
I feel that the odds for this match are correct and I can see the hosts being beaten tonight, just like both home teams in the Leverkusen v PSG and Man City v Barcelona games last night. Not only do Atlético have the advantage offensively as they outscored Milan 15-8 in the group stages, they also conceded fewer goals at 3-5. They are challenging for their league title, while Milan are having a long, hard struggle of a season and the visitors to the San Siro this evening certainly offer fantastic value at better than evens odds. This is value I’m all over this evening.
Back Atlético Madrid to beat AC Milan this evening @ 2.10 with GR88.com.