Can PSG put daylight between them and the chasing pack in Ligue 1?
Tonight’s clash between the top two sides in the top division of French football – Ligue 1 – will see one of two things; PSG storming off into the distance with an eight point lead at the top of the table or Monaco recording a home win to close the gap to just two points.
I, and I’m sure all of the neutrals watching the action at the Stade Louis II this evening, will be desperate for the hosts to claim all three points to keep the battle for the Ligue 1 title going and for it being closer than ever. However, GR88.com do not see it happening this way as they favour victory for the current league leaders and their Monaco v Paris Saint-Germain match odds are as follows.
Monaco – 3.15
Draw – 2.98
PSG – 2.14
(All odds provided by GR88.com are accurate as of today and subject to change)
Monaco bring a fine record at the Stade Louis II into tonight’s must win, or at least must not lose, match with PSG as they have claimed eight wins and two draws in 11 matches. Their only defeat on home soil came in their final match of the 2013 as they hosted 18th placed Valenciennes and were beaten 2-1. They have done much better in 2014 with a six game unbeaten run and they eased past fifth placed Marseille 2-0 in their only home match this year. However, they are missing top striker Falcao due to the Columbian player suffering an severe injury in a cup match that will keep him out until next season. Can they overcome this to continue their exceptional home form?
The odds do not suggest so, but Monaco do have a fine home record this season and with ten of the last 11 meetings between these two sides seeing either a draw or a one goal winning margin then I feel that the odds may have overpriced the hosts this evening. The only time in these 11 meetings that these two teams have been separated by more than a goal was in 2009 when Monaco claimed a 2-0 home victory, I see this match being as close as the other ten games in this run.
However, PSG are unbeaten in six on the road, winning five and drawing only with 16th placed Guingamp, where they needed a late leveller to claim a point and avoid defeat. The visitors to the Stade Louis II this evening will be confident thanks to this away form, but with them not having kept a clean sheet since November will Monaco be able to take advantage this evening?
As I already mentioned, I feel that the home side are overpriced this evening and with PSG struggling to keep clean sheets, Monaco offer the best value for me in tonight’s match. As a result, I am taking a chance on the outsiders and backing them on the handicap market at +0.25 (half on +0 – stake returned if drawn – and half on +0.25 – winner if home win or draw).
Back Monaco +0.25 goals @ 1.87 with GR88.com in this evening’s top of the table Ligue 1 clash of Monaco v Paris Saint-Germain.