History suggests a home win but can Lyon defeat Toulouse tonight?
Lyon v Toulouse brings the 16th round of Ligue 1 football to a close this evening at the Stade de Gerland with Toulouse looking to bring an eight year run of either home wins or the sides sharing the spoils to an end and after ending their own losing streak at the weekend they will be full of confidence this evening. Both teams have had poor starts to the season as they sit 13th and 14th in the league, with just Lyon’s four more goals scored separating the teams, so will this confidence be the deciding factor this evening? GR88.com do not think so as they favour another home win for Lyon and their match odds shape up as follows:
Lyon to win – 1.83
Draw – 3.10
Toulouse to win – 4.10
(Odds provided by GR88.com are current as of today but subject to change.)
Last season saw Lyon record an impressive 3rd place in the league to equal their best league finish in three seasons and secure a place in the Champions League, but defeat to Real Sociedad without a goal scored in the playoff round and sitting in the bottom half of the league at almost the halfway stage of the season has seen things fail to go to plan for the seven time Ligue 1 champions. They have slightly redeemed themselves by booking a place in the knockout stages of the Europa League, despite some subpar performances, and victory this evening could see them move as high as ninth in Ligue 1 which is a place higher than they started this round of matches. They need to bounce back quickly after a 4-0 beating at the hands of the league leaders PSG at the weekend and with them unbeaten in nine at home, including three wins and three clean sheets in their last four home games, they will fancy their chances of doing so and continuing this eight home unbeaten run for both themselves and Toulouse in meetings between the teams.
While Toulouse secured all three points at the weekend with a heavy 5-1 win over bottom of the table Sochaux, but they have been much better in front of their own fans this season as they have taken three of their five wins at home with 12 of their 19 points collected on home soil. Away from home they have been beaten in both of their last two matches with 16th position Evian taking a 2-1 win before title challengers Lille won 1-0 and Toulouse are now five weeks without a win away from home. That win came against Créteil, currently mid-table in the second tier of French football, in the Coupe de la Ligue and they have beaten only Reims on their travels in Ligue 1 action since the end of September, losing all of the other three matches. Toulouse know they must chance this if they are to avoid being sucked into a relegation battle, but can they upset the betting odds and history to take all three points this evening?
With the way that Lyon have secured points at home in their nine game unbeaten run and, after drawing four of the first five of those matches, they have started to win games, and do so while keeping clean sheets, I feel that Toulouse are going to continue to have a tough time of things away at the Stade de Gerland. The visitors this evening do not have a great away record this season and with the weight of history on their shoulders adding to the pressure of both sides desperate to move up from their bottom half of the table positions I can see only one victor in this Lyon v Toulouse clash tonight.